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Timothy Burke's avatar

I think that 74 piece is mixing up two things: attitudinal surveys and actual enrollment trends. (The survey they're referencing was of *middle school students*, so...they're not affecting college enrollments yet.) Measuring enrollment from 2019 to 2022 is already a kind of WTF if you're going to make claims about trending developments precisely because the pandemic had such a distinctive impact, but also because we're now into the so-called "demographic cliff" where some sort of net enrollment decline is inevitable anyway.

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